Our society evolves towards an increase in oil production. As it needs to always make progress, it leads to a continuous increase of demand for products and services in developed countries. Frederic Gaspoz explains that the effectiveness of the energy use, so-called energy intensity (energy to gross domestic product, GDP), is in continuous improvement every year in all sectors (industry, agriculture, housing and offices...) except transport.
At the same time, our society naturally tends to expand the production and supply of products and services to developing countries. Frederic Gaspoz takes the example of China and India, where a portion of the population begins to be able to afford material benefits commonly found in rich countries. The inhabitants of prosperous areas of these emerging countries want to equip their homes with modern appliance and have a car to travel. They travel for work and leisure. The factors of production of these countries are expanding to meet this demand. This increases energy needs, and energy intensity remains high in these countries according to Frederic Gaspoz. Today, China, India, Brazil and other developing countries already account for an increasing share of the demand for energy